Match Info

Date: 5 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Galvez		Castanhal

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.82
	3.5	3.25	1.86
	10.01	5.57	1.15
	7	4.2	1.38
	6.4	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↑ (3.65)	4.2 ↑ (3.36)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galvez
15.4%

Draw
22.5%

Castanhal
62.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.6%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

20.1%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galvez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galvez's form might have worsened.

Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castanhal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galvez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Galvez - Castanhal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Galvez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castanhal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castanhal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castanhal is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Galvez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galvez EC
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
01.09.21	Galvez - Atlético Acreano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.08.21	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Galvez	0:3 ✺
22.08.21	Atlético Acreano - Galvez	1:4 ✺
15.08.21	Galvez - Penarol	1:3 ✺
08.08.21	Galvez - Fast Clube	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLT
- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
29.08.21	Castanhal - Penarol	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	São Raimundo PR - Castanhal	1:2 ✺
15.08.21	Castanhal - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	5:0 ✺
08.08.21	Ypiranga Clube - Castanhal	0:2 ✺
01.08.21	Atlético Acreano - Castanhal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
06.06.21	Castanhal - Galvez	4:1

Galvez - Castanhal

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Galvez - Castanhal Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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