Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Gama		Brasília

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.4	4.2	1.41
	5.12	4.07	1.39
	6.95	4.45	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (2.23)	4.23 ↑ (3.04)	1.4 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gama
14.4%

Draw
21.3%

Brasília
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gama's form might have worsened.

Brasília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brasília's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasília, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Brasiliense (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Brasília could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gama won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Gama won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE do Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
10.02.22	Santa Maria - Gama	2:2 ✺
06.02.22	Gama - Taguatinga EC	0:0 ✺
03.02.22	Gama - Paranoá	0:4 ✺
29.01.22	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Gama - Brasiliense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLTW
- Brasília FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
09.02.22	Brasília - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Capital CF Ltda - Brasília	4:1 ✺
02.02.22	Brasília - Brasiliense	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Ceilândia - Brasília	2:1 ✺
26.01.22	Brasília - Unaí EC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.02.17	Gama - Brasília	1:0

Gama - Brasília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide