Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 9

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek (Paranoá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Record


	Capital CF Ltda		Gama

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.82	3.05
	2.47	2.72	3.01
	2.35	2.84	3.16
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.66	3.14	2.66
	2.73	2.97	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.87)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Capital CF Ltda
36.7%

Draw
31.5%

Gama
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

31.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+5%)

Capital CF Ltda - Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 🟥,
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capital won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Gama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gama has had a series of home games.

Capital will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Capital won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Capital won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital CF Ltda
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Juazeirense - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.02.26	Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Brasília - Capital CF Ltda	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWL
- SE do Gama
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Gama - Goiás	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.02.26	Gama - ARUC	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Gama - Monte Roraima	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
11.02.26	Gama - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sobradinho - Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
29.03.25	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	1:2 penalties
08.03.25	Gama - Capital CF Ltda	0:0
21.01.24	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	1:0
18.03.23	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	0:0
30.03.22	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	3:1
05.03.22	Gama - Capital CF Ltda	1:2
29.01.22	Capital CF Ltda - Gama	0:0

Capital CF Ltda - Gama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide