Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Gama		Luverdense

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.98	4.45
	1.68	3.2	5.06
	1.9	2.84	4.77
	1.85	2.88	4.2
	1.91	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.6)	4.54 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gama
49.5%

Draw
30.5%

Luverdense
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.2%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gama's form might have worsened.

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gama than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Gama - Luverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ramon ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Felipe Clemente ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Ramon ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Lucio ⚽,

Preview

Gama is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Luverdense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gama is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE do Gama
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Brasiliense - Gama	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Primavera AC - Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Gama - Anápolis	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Gama - Inhumas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW
- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Luverdense - Primavera AC	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Aparecidense - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Luverdense - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Inhumas - Luverdense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.03.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTWL

Gama - Luverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide