Match Info

Matogrossense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Mixto

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.72	2.88
	3.14	2.32	2.82
	2.62	2.7	2.99	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.58	2.59	3.05
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.24)	2.71 ↓ (3.1)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
34.8%

Draw
33.7%

Mixto
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luverdense's form might have worsened.

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Luverdense - Mixto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Luverdense (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luverdense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luverdense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
01.03.26	Mixto - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Luverdense - Sport Sinop	2:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWWL
- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
01.03.26	Mixto - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.02.26	Mixto - Operário Ltda	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nova Mutum - Mixto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
01.03.26	Mixto - Luverdense	0:0
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0
03.05.25	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
01.02.25	Mixto - Luverdense	4:1
05.04.24	Luverdense - Mixto	1:1
30.03.24	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1

Luverdense - Mixto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide