Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Independence Stadium (Bakau) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	00:00	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Gambia		Somalia

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.25	16.50
	1.10	8.00	13.00
	1.15	7.56	20.43
	1.14	6.8	21	Watch
	1.13	7.00	20.00
	1.14	7.19	19.50	Watch
	1.11	6.40	16.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.25)	7.17 ↑ (5)	18.06 ↑ (10.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gambia
82%

Draw
12.9%

Somalia
5.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

18.2%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gambia's performance.

Somalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Gambia - Somalia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gambia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gambia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Gaye B. (G) Shkendija Tetovo 4. Saine A. Horsens 5. Colley O. (C) Al Fayha 6. Bojang Y. Alverca 3. Sanyang S. Botev Vratsa 25. Barry A. Salzburg 2. Bajo M. Crvena zvezda 15. Ceesay J. Empoli 7. Fadera A. Cagliari 19. Colley E. Konyaspor 21. Ceesay A. St. Pauli	23. Hussein I. A. (G) 3. Gigli A. Correggese 15. Omar A. Dumbarton 19. Othman F. Jeddah Club 17. Abdullahi Abdulle A. Heegan 8. Abdullahi A. (C) Arsenal Tivat 14. Sharif A. Connahs Q. 2. Mohamed M. Portland Hearts of Pine 11. Sabriye A. Jaro 9. Njie B. KFUM Oslo 7. Hassan S. Hampton & Richmond
Substitutes
8. Adams E. Portsmouth 10. Badamosi M. Riga FC 20. Bojang A. Charleroi 9. Camara S. Slovan Bratislava 24. Colley J. KF Tirana 23. Drammeh M. Universitatea Cluj 17. Gassama K. Gaziantep 12. Gomez J. Odense 1. Jarju E. (G) Paide Linnameeskond 11. Sanyang A. Hajduk Split 13. Touray I. Bradford City 14. Yirajang A. Slovan Bratislava	5. Abdi A. A. 4. Ali M. Rhyl 20. Khamis I. 12. Marsis Mogadishu City 13. Mohamud Jama A. (G) Dekedda 21. Njie M. Moss 6. Osman A. Dekedda 1. Sheikh A. 10. Suleiman M. Katwijk
Coaches
McKinstry J.	Nur Y. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Colley E. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Abdullahi A. 🟨,
34', Barry A. 🟨,
35', Sabriye A. ↓, Marsis ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bojang Y. ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
46', Fadera A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
69', Barry A. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
69', Colley E. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Njie B. ⚽,
77', Ceesay A. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
78', Hassan S. ↓, Khamis I. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Badamosi M. ⚽, Camara S. (A),
85', Njie B. ↓, Suleiman M. ↑,
85', Sharif A. ↓, Osman A. ↑,
90+6', Abdullahi Abdulle A. 🟨,

Preview

Gambia is ranked FIFA: 116., and Somalia is ranked FIFA: 199..

The betting markets point to Gambia as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambia
Friendly
29.05.26	Iran - Gambia	3:1 ✺
31.03.26	Senegal - Gambia	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Seychelles - Gambia	0:7 ✺
10.10.25	Gambia - Gabon	3:4 ✺
09.09.25	Gambia - Burundi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Somalia
Africa Cup of Nations
31.03.26	Mauritius - Somalia	0:1 penalties ✺
27.03.26	Somalia - Mauritius	0:0 ✺
FIFA Arab Cup
26.11.25	Oman - Somalia	1:0 penalties ✺
Friendly
17.11.25	Bahrain - Somalia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Somalia - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.3 WTLWL

Gambia - Somalia