Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 2

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium (El Jadida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, myCANAL
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Fanatiz


	Gambia		Tunisia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	2.95	1.72
	5	3.2	1.8	Watch
	5.36	3.12	1.79
	4.42	3.28	1.87	Watch
	5.1	3.25	1.78	Watch
	5	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (3.3)	3.17 ↑ (3)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Africa Cup of Nations with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Gambia
18.7%

Draw
29.4%

Tunisia
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gambia's form might have worsened.

Tunisia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tunisia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Gambia - Tunisia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gambia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tunisia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tunisia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) Virtus Verona 15. Ceesay J. Cesena 12. Gomez J. Odense 5. Colley O. (C) PAOK 13. Touray I. Stockport County 24. Darboe E. Frosinone 2. Barry H. Vejle 20. Minteh Y. Brighton 10. Barrow M. Al Taawon 7. Fadera A. Como 17. Sowe A. Rizespor	1. Memmiche A. A. (G) Esperance Tunis 21. Bouchniba R. Esperance Tunis 4. Meriah Y. Esperance Tunis 3. Talbi M. Lorient 2. Abdi A. Nice 13. Sassi F. (C) Al-Gharafa 5. Ben Romdhane M. A. Ferencvaros 14. Laidouni A. Al Wakra 12. Ben Ouanes M. Kasimpasa 15. Youssef A. Hacken 8. Rafia H. Lecce
Substitutes
8. Adams E. Derby 23. Ceesay A. Paide Linnameeskond 4. Ceesay E. Jedinstvo Ub 19. Colley E. Young Boys 14. Gaye D. KFUM Oslo 3. Jallow A. Metz 1. Jarju E. (G) Paide Linnameeskond 11. Juwara M. Vejle 16. Manneh A. Odense 6. Njie M. KFUM Oslo 21. Sanyang S. CSKA Sofia 9. Sidibeh A. St Johnstone	19. Belhadj M. Lugano 20. Ben Ali H. Etoile Sahel 22. Ben Said B. (G) Esperance Tunis 6. Bronn D. Salernitana 18. Ghandri N. Akhmat Grozny 11. Jaziri S. Zamalek 16. Jemal A. (G) Etoile Sahel 9. Jouini H. Dibba Al Hisn 23. Ltaief S. Twente 7. Mejri B. Stade Tunisien 10. Tka H. Esperance Tunis 17. Zemzemi M. Club Africain
Coaches
McKinstry J.	Benzarti F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Abdi A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Sowe A. ⚽, Minteh Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Youssef A. ↓, Jouini H. ↑,
59', Sassi F. 🟨,
61', Barry H. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
72', Fadera A. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Ben Romdhane M. A. ⚽, Bouchniba R. (A),
81', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Mejri B. ↑,
83', Touray I. ↓, Colley E. ↑,
83', Darboe E. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
83', Sowe A. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
90+1', Rafia H. ↓, Ghandri N. ↑,
90+7', Adams E. 🟨,

Preview

Tunisia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tunisia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gambia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambia
Africa Cup of Nations
04.09.24	Comoros - Gambia	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Gabon - Gambia	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Gambia - Seychelles	5:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
23.01.24	Gambia - Cameroon	2:3 ✺
19.01.24	Guinea - Gambia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWLL
- Tunisia
Africa Cup of Nations
05.09.24	Tunisia - Madagascar	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Namibia - Tunisia	0:0 ✺
05.06.24	Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea	1:0 ✺
Friendly
26.03.24	New Zealand - Tunisia	0:1 penalties ✺
23.03.24	Croatia - Tunisia	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
20.01.22	Gambia - Tunisia	1:0

Gambia - Tunisia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide