Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Gandzasar (Kapan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Gandzasar		Alashkert

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.85	1.52
	5.63	3.7	1.53	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (5.09)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gandzasar
17.6%

Draw
24.7%

Alashkert
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

24.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.9%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gandzasar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alashkert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gandzasar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Gandzasar - Alashkert Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gandzasar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Gandzasar (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alashkert will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gandzasar (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matevosyan G. (G) 11. Alaverdyan N. 96. Avetisyan P. 33. Hayrapetyan V. 8. Ismail B. D. 5. Kanda S. 15. Mensah A. 17. Merrill L. 20. Obonde S. 10. Petrosyan L. 4. Voskanyan T. (C)	24. Beglaryan A. (G) 25. Caio Henrique 10. Farayola O. 8. Gareginyan Y. 2. Grigoryan S. 22. Hakobyan R. 44. Klaidher 7. Nalbandyan K. 18. Nduka I. D. 6. Piloyan E. 11. Toure M.
Substitutes
9. Avetisyan P. 14. Emmanuel O. C. 80. Grigoryan M. 37. Karagulyan R. 77. Khachatryan A. 29. Kone S. 31. Lobusov N. (G) 7. Mani B. 2. Manukyan P. 6. Minasyan V. 18. Paronyan G. 13. Rostokin R.	13. Ayvazov A. (G) 77. Campos J. 20. Chima O. 19. Drammeh K. 66. Kankanyan M. 4. Matyukhin Y. 30. Mse D. 45. Odeyinka M. 15. Sadoyan A. 3. Segun S. 99. Sesay I. (G) 5. Terteryan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Alaverdyan N. 🟨,
31', Piloyan E. 🟨,
36', Caio Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Petrosyan L. ⚽, Avetisyan P. (A),
57', Caio Henrique ↓, Drammeh K. ↑,
57', Grigoryan S. ↓, Sadoyan A. ↑,
58', Mensah A. ↓, Karagulyan R. ↑,
62', 🟨,
65', Petrosyan L. ↓, Mani B. ↑,
65', Avetisyan P. ↓,
65', Kanda S. 🟨,
70', Hayrapetyan V. 🟨,
74', Gareginyan Y. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', Toure M. 🟥,
82', Gareginyan Y. ↓, Campos J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gandzasar won 1.

Gandzasar has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alashkert is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Alashkert is the team to beat.

We predict that Alashkert will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gandzasar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gandzasar won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gandzasar FC
Armenian Premier League
25.10.25	Pyunik - Gandzasar	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ararat-Armenia - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Gandzasar - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Alashkert - Gandzasar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
24.10.25	Alashkert - Van	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Alashkert - Shirak Gyumri	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Van - Alashkert	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
21.09.25	Alashkert - Gandzasar	2:0
Armenian Cup
17.09.25	Gandzasar - Alashkert	2:1
Armenian Premier League
02.05.25	Alashkert - Gandzasar	1:0
23.10.24	Gandzasar - Alashkert	0:1
18.09.24	Alashkert - Gandzasar	2:2
Armenian Cup
25.11.22	Gandzasar - Alashkert	1:0 penalties
Armenian Premier League
06.03.20	Gandzasar - Alashkert	2:2

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