Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...


	Ararat-Armenia		Alashkert

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	2.70
	2.10	3.15	2.90
	2.28	3.67	2.83
	2.02	3.66	3.13	Watch
	2.34	3.52	2.80	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.4)	3.45 ↑ (3.18)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
41.7%

Draw
26.5%

Alashkert
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Alashkert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ararat Armenia - Alashkert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nersesyan A. (G) 8. Balanta J. A. 11. Banjaqui Z. 70. Benny 47. Malis A. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 2. Oliveira H. 14. Pereira B. 91. Sandro Lima 77. Serobyan A. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R.	99. Sesay I. (G) 3. Cezar 10. Farayola O. 55. Hakobyan H. 14. Massoumou D. J. 4. Matyukhin Y. 7. Nalbandyan K. (C) 8. Piloyan E. 88. Rafael Jesus 5. Terteryan D. 11. Toure M.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 98. Joao Bravim (G) 5. Luis Felipe 71. Martirosyan A. (G) 44. Petrosyan D. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A.	6. Adebayo H. 77. Aghbalyan D. 24. Beglaryan A. (G) 19. Ejike P. 23. Gigolyan S. 21. Granado J. 22. Hakobyan R. 18. Nduka I. D. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 17. Sabobo J. 15. Sadoyan A. 20. Togola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Toure M. 🟨,
13', 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat-Armenia won 2.

In recent outings, Ararat-Armenia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alashkert shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ararat-Armenia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ararat-Armenia has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:18 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ararat-Armenia against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 22:11 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ararat-Armenia	11	8	2	1	21:10	11	26
4	Alashkert	11	6	4	1	25:8	17	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
20.09.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Armenian Premier League
11.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Syunik	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
19.09.26	Alashkert - Pyunik	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Sardarapat - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alashkert - Van	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Alashkert - Gandzasar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
06.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	1:1
07.03.26	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	1:0
25.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	2:1
15.03.25	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	3:0
27.11.24	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	2:2
30.08.24	Ararat-Armenia - Alashkert	3:1
26.05.24	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	1:3

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