Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)


	Ararat		Ararat-Armenia

	1	X	2
	8.75	5.00	1.26
	8	5	1.26
	8.88	5.39	1.26
	8.95	5.24	1.28	Watch
	8.62	5.27	1.23
	10.5	5	1.24	Watch
	7.8	5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.79 ↑ (8.15)	5.13 ↑ (4.6)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat
10.3%

Draw
17.6%

Ararat-Armenia
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

19.6%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

18.8%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Ararat-Armenia aligns with the current prediction.

Ararat - Ararat Armenia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 8. Alekyan P. 30. Aslanyan A. 18. Berte M. 6. Chukwu O. 10. Grigoryan A. 7. Handzongo P. 33. Haroyan V. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 17. Movsesyan E.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 11. Banjaqui Z. 70. Benny 16. Grigoryan E. 47. Malis A. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 2. Oliveira H. 91. Sandro Lima 77. Serobyan A. 20. Tera A. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R.
Substitutes
11. Alaverdyan N. 77. Aleksanyan A. 42. Fofana M. 9. Hovhannisyan B. 38. Kante M. 13. Lobusov N. (G) 20. Meite A. 25. Ouattara A. 4. Samsonyan V. 21. Simonyan G. 19. Toure S. 32. Ukadike D.	10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 8. Balanta J. A. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 3. Junior Julio 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 7. Shaghoyan Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Sandro Lima ⚽,
63', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ararat won 0.

Ararat is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ararat-Armenia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ararat-Armenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ararat-Armenia is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ararat won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 13:49. (average 0.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.3:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	6:13	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
30.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ararat - Pyunik	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ararat - Sardarapat	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Alashkert - Ararat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
31.08.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
23.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sardarapat	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Ararat-Armenia	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
15.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Van	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:0
21.11.25	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	1:2
30.08.25	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:2
28.05.25	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	6:0
10.11.24	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:0
18.10.24	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	3:2
12.04.24	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	2:1

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