Match Info

K3 League - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Gangneung		Gimhae

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.45	3.2	2
	3.72	3.32	2.04
	3.58	3.36	1.96	Watch
	3.75	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.45	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.67)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
25.8%

Draw
28.1%

Gimhae
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.6%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Gangneung - Gimhae Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Mun J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Lee Kang-Uk ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gangneung City won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gangneung City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimhae will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gangneung City won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:34 (average 1.1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gangneung City won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:17 (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
04.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
22.03.25	Gangneung - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
16.03.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTWL
- Gimhae FC
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Daegu - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
05.04.25	Gimhae - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Gimhae - Geoje Citizen	5:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
15.03.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.11.24	Gimhae - Gangneung	3:0
23.06.24	Gangneung - Gimhae	2:3
29.10.23	Gangneung - Gimhae	0:5
03.06.23	Gimhae - Gangneung	3:2
17.09.22	Gangneung - Gimhae	0:0
15.05.22	Gimhae - Gangneung	1:1
02.10.21	Gimhae - Gangneung	5:2

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