Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday


	Gimhae		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	2.03	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.24	3.66
	2.04	3.13	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.67)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	3.5 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
44.9%

Draw
29%

Cheonan City
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

28.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimhae's form might have worsened.

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheonan City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimhae, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheonan City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Gimhae - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gimhae will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimhae: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimhae won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Gimhae is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Gimhae won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimhae won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
16.07.22	Gimhae - Siheung	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
02.07.22	Gimhae - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
26.06.22	Gimhae - Changwon City	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLL
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K3 League
17.07.22	Hwaseong - Cheonan City	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Cheonan City - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Cheonan City - Cheongju	4:0 ✺
26.06.22	Cheonan City - Yangju Citizen	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Gangneung - Cheonan City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
14.08.21	Gimhae - Cheonan City	1:5
11.04.21	Cheonan City - Gimhae	2:1
18.07.20	Gimhae - Cheonan City	1:1
South Korean Cup
06.06.20	Gimhae - Cheonan City	4:2
South Korean National League
23.10.19	Gimhae - Cheonan City	0:1
30.08.19	Cheonan City - Gimhae	1:0
12.07.19	Gimhae - Cheonan City	1:2

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