The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ganzhou Ruishi 31.1%
Draw 33.1%
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
30%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
28.7%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ganzhou Ruishi's form might have worsened.
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Zhou Z. (G) 18. Guo Fuxin 26. Li Boyang (C) 28. Shao Shuai 19. Jin Jian 11. Yu Haozhen 8. Hu H. 20. Jiang Zhengjie 41. Anqi Luo 7. Zhou Bingxu 22. Abdukerim Qaharman
51. Fan Mengtong (G) 16. Gao K. 5. Nihmat Nihat 17. Li Zhuoxuan 20. Fan Ruiwei (C) 19. Tian Xiangyu 48. Dilyar Alamas 15. Wen Wubin 26. Xu Hong 7. Chen Yuhao 22. Chen Weiqi
Substitutes
14. Han Zhen (G) 33. Li Dongnan 15. Liu Guanjun 47. Li Z. 21. Lu Yuefeng 30. Ren Zening 3. Wang Duolin 2. Wang Jiajun 32. Yin P. 58. Yu Keli 42. Zhang Z. 9. Zhao Yi
1. Ci Henglong (G) 2. Diao Jiahao 47. Li Haoyu 9. Lu J. 8. Muhta M. 27. Murathan Ares 10. Shohret R. 42. Zhang Hao 3. Zhang Ran
Coaches
Li Xiaoting
Otsuka I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Dilyar Alamas ⚽, Li Zhuoxuan (A),
20', 0 - 2, Tian Xiangyu ⚽,
32', Hu H. ↓, Yu Keli ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jiang Zhengjie ↓, Wang Duolin ↑,
46', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
57', Tian Xiangyu ↓, Lu J. ↑,
57', Xu Hong ↓, Muhta M. ↑,
62', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Wang Jiajun ↑,
70', Chen Yuhao ↓, Shohret R. ↑,
72', Yu Haozhen ↓, Yin P. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Li Boyang ⚽,
89', Gao K. ↓, Diao Jiahao ↑,
89', Dilyar Alamas ↓, Zhang Ran ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Li Zhuoxuan (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ganzhou Ruishi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
Including home match between the teams, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Zhou Z. (G) 
Otsuka I. 
