Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 23

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Garbarnia Kraków		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.62
	4.38	3.98	1.62	Watch
	3.91	3.9	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	1.64 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
21.8%

Draw
23.1%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

24.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garbarnia Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kaliniec S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Duda M. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 1.

Garbarnia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garbarnia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Siarka Tarnobrzeg is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Garbarnia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.03.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Garbarnia Kraków	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Wisłoka Dębica	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.03.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:4 ✺
16.03.24	Karpaty Krosno - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	0:0
Polish Division 2
15.04.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4
Polish Division 2
04.04.18	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1
12.08.17	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1
Polish Division 2 - East
17.05.14	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0

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