Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 21

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Garching		Erlbach

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4.4	4	1.66
	4.4	4	1.66
	4.2	3.8	1.55
	4.3	3.92	1.63
	4.33	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.64)	3.87 ↓ (4.5)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garching
21%

Draw
23.5%

Erlbach
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

19.9%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Erlbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garching than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erlbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Garching - Erlbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 6).

Garching is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erlbach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Garching could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Erlbach is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garching won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Garching won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Garching
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
11.11.23	Rain am Lech - Garching	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Garching - Schwaben Augsburg	1:4 ✺
29.10.23	Garching - 1860 München II	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Deisenhofen - Garching	4:2 ✺
15.10.23	Garching - Kirchheimer	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLT
- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
12.11.23	Erlbach - Sonthofen	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Kirchanschöring - Erlbach	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Erlbach - TSV Kottern	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Rain am Lech - Erlbach	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Erlbach - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
04.08.23	Erlbach - Garching	2:0
12.03.23	Garching - Erlbach	0:2
09.08.22	Erlbach - Garching	2:1
28.11.15	Erlbach - Garching	2:2
05.08.15	Garching - Erlbach	3:0

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