The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Garde Nationale 14.9%
Draw 25.8%
Al-Merreikh 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
28%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
27.1%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Garde Nationale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garde Nationale's form might have worsened.
Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Merreikh's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garde Nationale than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garde Nationale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Merreikh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Al-Qabbani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Recent matches Garde Nationale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Al-Merreikh is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Garde Nationale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Al-Merreikh will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Garde Nationale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0