Match Info

Premier League

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Police		Al-Merreikh

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.78	3.05
	2.73	2.68	2.75
	2.7	2.75	2.84	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.63
	2.87	2.87	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.46)	2.74 ↓ (2.83)	2.78 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
34%

Draw
33.2%

Al-Merreikh
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Police - Al Merreikh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).

Recent form of Police has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Merreikh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Merreikh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Police	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Al-Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
01.03.26	Muhanga - Police	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Rutsiro - Police	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Police - APR	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Police - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Police - Kigali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLL
- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
27.02.26	Al-Merreikh - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Kigali - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Al-Merreikh	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Musanze - Al-Merreikh	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Marines - Al-Merreikh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
08.01.26	Al-Merreikh - Police	1:1

Police - Al-Merreikh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide