Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 26

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		Gori

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.15
	2.13	3.29	3.11
	2.07	3.39	3.16	Watch
	2.04	3.26	3.08
	2.06	3.41	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	3.16 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
43.9%

Draw
27.4%

Gori
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gareji Sagarejo's form might have worsened.

Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gareji Sagarejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gori than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gareji Sagarejo - Gori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 22. Grigalashvili N. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 15. Kapanadze T. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 5. Nikolaishvili G. 17. Kalandadze L. 11. Aidarashvili D. 23. Gulisashvili I. 29. Gugberidze B.	1. Puladze P. (G) 2. Elbakidze L. 35. Koberidze A. 3. Akhalkatsi S. 17. Bafuri A. 15. Hamondi B. 7. Nozadze T. 18. Bekadze G. 10. Alimbarashvili G. (C) 22. Owusu-Ansa J. 38. Seidu T.
Substitutes
32. Abramishvili G. (G) 35. Kikvadze G. 7. Kometiani M. 14. Tchikaidze I. 8. Tsetskhladze G.	33. Arakelovi L. 23. Botchorishvili V. 12. Guluashvili E. (G) 14. Kurmashvili G. 5. Mamulashvili G. 25. Otinashvili L. 13. Sirbiladze A. 8. Tabatadze E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Seidu T. ⚽, Alimbarashvili G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gulisashvili I. ↓, Tchikaidze I. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Gugberidze B. ⚽, Nikolaishvili G. (A),
61', Hamondi B. 🟨,
61', Gugberidze B. 🟨,
63', Bekadze G. ↓, Kurmashvili G. ↑,
63', Tabatadze E. ↓, Ninidze N. ↑,
75', Gugberidze B. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
81', Owusu-Ansa J. ↓, Mamulashvili G. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Samadashvili G. ⚽, Aidarashvili D. (A),
84', Hamondi B. ↓, Sirbiladze A. ↑,
85', Aidarashvili D. ↓, Kometiani M. ↑,
90', Kalandadze L. ↓, Kikvadze G. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Gareji is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gareji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	27	14	8	5	35:28	7	50
10	Gori	27	6	9	12	27:35	-8	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
12.09.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Merani Martvili - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Kolkheti Poti	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Aragvi Dusheti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWL
- FC Gori
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
12.09.26	Gori - Telavi	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Odishi 1919 - Gori	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Gori - Shturmi	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Gori	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Samtredia - Gori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
13.06.26	Gori - Gareji Sagarejo	1:3
22.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gori	1:0

Gareji Sagarejo - Gori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide