Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Gares		Cortes

	1	X	2
	8.2	4.2	1.3
	8.86	4.32	1.3
	9.2	4.65	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.75 ↑ (5.7)	4.39 ↑ (3.46)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gares
10.3%

Draw
20.5%

Cortes
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

25%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

23.4%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cortes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gares than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cortes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Gares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cortes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cortes is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
09.04.22	Huarte - Gares	4:0 ✺
01.04.22	Gares - Txantrea	0:1 ✺
27.03.22	Subiza - Gares	4:0 ✺
20.03.22	Gares - Cantolagua	1:4 ✺
13.03.22	Beti Kozkor - Gares	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
09.04.22	Cortes - Pamplona	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Cortes - Beti Onak	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Corellano - Cortes	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Cortes - Azkoyen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.12.21	Cortes - Gares	2:0

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