Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gasogi United		Bugesera

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.80	3.05
	2.67	2.50	3.21	Watch
	2.35	2.75	2.75
	2.43	2.94	2.94
	2.36	2.90	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.96 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gasogi United
37.3%

Draw
32.4%

Bugesera
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gasogi United - Bugesera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Nshimirimana D. ⚽, Akpesiri N. (A),
72', 0 - 2, Ndabitezimana L. ⚽, Kwizera E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 0.

Bugesera could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Gasogi United has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gasogi United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4:1	3	6
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
14.10.26	Sunrise - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Gasogi United - Etincelles	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLT
- Bugesera FC
Rwanda Premier League
10.10.26	Bugesera - Etincelles	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Bugesera	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Gicumbi - Bugesera	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Bugesera - Marines	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
14.03.26	Gasogi United - Bugesera	0:1
18.10.25	Bugesera - Gasogi United	0:0
15.02.25	Gasogi United - Bugesera	2:2
11.02.24	Gasogi United - Bugesera	2:3
30.09.23	Bugesera - Gasogi United	3:0
23.04.23	Bugesera - Gasogi United	1:1
13.09.22	Gasogi United - Bugesera	1:0

Gasogi United - Bugesera