Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Gasogi United |
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Bugesera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.45 |
2.78 |
2.92 |
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2.22 |
2.85 |
3.28 |
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2.3 |
2.87 |
3.29 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
2.63 |
3.25 |
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2.23 |
2.85 |
3.32 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↓ (2.6) |
2.8 ↓ (2.84) |
3.21 ↑ (2.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gasogi United 39.6% | Draw 32.3% | Bugesera 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gasogi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bugesera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Gasogi United - Bugesera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 0.Gasogi United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bugesera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gasogi United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Last Results with these Odds
Gasogi United - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 18.10.25 | Bugesera - Gasogi United | 0:0 | | 15.02.25 | Gasogi United - Bugesera | 2:2 | | 11.02.24 | Gasogi United - Bugesera | 2:3 | | 30.09.23 | Bugesera - Gasogi United | 3:0 | | 23.04.23 | Bugesera - Gasogi United | 1:1 | | 13.09.22 | Gasogi United - Bugesera | 1:0 | | 25.02.22 | Gasogi United - Bugesera | 1:0 |
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