Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 4 April 2026, Saturday
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Bugesera |
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Etincelles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.78 |
3.45 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.81 |
3.44 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.63 |
3.5 |
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 |
2.16 |
2.82 |
3.53 |
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 |
2.04 |
2.9 |
3.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.07) |
2.79 ↓
(2.85) |
3.51 ↓
(3.87) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bugesera
42.1% | Draw
32.3% | Etincelles
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Bugesera - Etincelles Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 0-1. Aggregate: 2-1. Second leg.This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 3.Bugesera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Etincelles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Recently, Bugesera has had a series of home games.Recently, Etincelles has had a series of away games. Bugesera could have a small edge in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Etincelles - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 23.65%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Peace Cup | | | 11.03.26 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 1:0 | | Rwanda Premier League | | | 11.01.26 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 1:2 | | 24.05.25 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 0:1 | | 21.09.24 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 1:1 | | 31.03.24 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 2:2 | | 05.11.23 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 3:2 | | 21.05.23 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 3:2 |
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