Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Gasogi United		Muhazi United

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.65	3	2.55
	4.51	3.41	1.59
	5.25	3.43	1.65	Watch
	5.76	3.54	1.56
	2.65	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (1.91)	3.21 ↑ (2.89)	2.13 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gasogi United
24.9%

Draw
29.9%

Muhazi United
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

31.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

30.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gasogi United's form might have worsened.

Muhazi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muhazi United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (+24%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gasogi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhazi United than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muhazi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Gasogi United - Muhazi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gasogi United will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Muhazi will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muhazi: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gasogi United (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Muhazi (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gasogi United (2.21) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Gasogi United (6.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Gasogi United (votes: 4 - 40%). Muhazi (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Muhindo C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).

In recent matches, Gasogi United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Muhazi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gasogi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Muhazi has had a series of away games.

Gasogi United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Gasogi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
10.05.25	Musanze - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Gasogi United - Mukura Victory Sports	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gasogi United - Amagaju	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Gasogi United - Police	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Vision - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLL
- Muhazi United
Rwanda Premier League
11.05.25	Rutsiro - Muhazi United	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Kiyovu Sports - Muhazi United	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Musanze - Muhazi United	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Muhazi United - Rayon Sports	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Kigali - Muhazi United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
14.12.24	Muhazi United - Gasogi United	0:0
21.01.24	Muhazi United - Gasogi United	0:0
10.03.23	Gasogi United - Muhazi United	2:2
13.10.22	Muhazi United - Gasogi United	1:0

Gasogi United - Muhazi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide