Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kigali		Muhazi United

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.87	4.2
	1.92	2.9	4.3
	1.93	2.94	4.36
	1.95	3.08	4.11
	1.92	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.01)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	4.25 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
47.6%

Draw
31%

Muhazi United
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

31.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Muhazi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhazi United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Kigali - Muhazi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).

Recent matches Kigali is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muhazi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Muhazi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kigali will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kigali won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kigali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
28.03.25	Kigali - Gasogi United	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Rutsiro - Kigali	2:1 ✺
Rwanda Peace Cup
05.03.25	Kigali - Police	2:2 ✺
Rwanda Premier League
01.03.25	Musanze - Kigali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTW
- Muhazi United
Rwanda Premier League
29.03.25	Bugesera - Muhazi United	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Gorilla - Muhazi United	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Muhazi United - Police	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Muhazi United - Etincelles	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Muhazi United - Marines	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
28.09.24	Muhazi United - Kigali	1:2
12.12.23	Muhazi United - Kigali	0:0
28.01.23	Muhazi United - Kigali	1:0
21.11.22	Kigali - Muhazi United	4:0

Kigali - Muhazi United