Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Gavilanes de Matamoros		Lobos ULMX

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.38	3.83	Watch
	1.87	3.22	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.3 ↑ (3.24)	3.87 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gavilanes de Matamoros
48.7%

Draw
27.7%

Lobos ULMX
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

29.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lobos ULMX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gavilanes Matamoros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Gavilanes Matamoros has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lobos ULMX is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gavilanes Matamoros is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gavilanes Matamoros won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gavilanes Matamoros won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Real Apodaca	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Santiago	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTL
- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Lobos ULMX - Real Apodaca	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lobos ULMX - Santiago	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lobos ULMX - Canamy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0
12.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2
18.02.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX	0:0
29.09.22	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:5

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide