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Current Win Probability
Gaúcho 28.7%
Draw 34.3%
Passo Fundo 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
31.6%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
30.6%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaúcho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Passo Fundo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaúcho than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Gaúcho - Passo Fundo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
57', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaúcho won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Gaúcho has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gaúcho against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).