Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: de Albuquerque Troleis A. (Fai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Gefle		Öster

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6
	4.5	4.2	1.57
	5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5.22	4.38	1.6
	4.93	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.53
	4.91	4.25	1.6	Watch
	5	4.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (5.1)	4.26 ↓ (4.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
19.1%

Draw
22%

Öster
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

21.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.5%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Gefle - Öster Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Öster will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nilsson M. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 15. Friberg G. 19. Aspgren C. 12. Bellman H. 44. Ranera I. 35. Adrian S. 7. Edqvist A. 9. Hjelte J. 11. Englund L.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Varmanen T. 5. Adolfsson M. 15. Kricak I. (C) 21. Bergquist L. 8. Jansson K. 19. Bergmark-Wiberg A. 7. Seger D. 18. Ljung D. 25. Andersen M. 22. Petrovic P.
Substitutes
6. Browning L. 14. Friman S. P. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A. 8. Lundin A. 16. Persson K. 24. Rafael Y.	20. Aliev A. 11. Bladh Pijaca H. 24. Johansson T. 32. Lundahl Persson C. (G) 9. Soderberg N. 4. Starke Hedlund S. 2. Thorisson T.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Foyston M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bergmark-Wiberg A. ⚽, Jansson K. (A),
34', Adolfsson M. 🟥,
43', 1 - 1, Hjelte J. ⚽,
45+2', Adolfsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bergquist L. ↓, Bladh Pijaca H. ↑,
46', Varmanen T. ↓, Starke Hedlund S. ↑,
65', Ranera I. ↓, Rafael Y. ↑,
65', Bellman H. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
76', Seger D. 🟨,
77', Petrovic P. ↓, Johansson T. ↑,
77', Andersen M. ↓, Aliev A. ↑,
81', Aspgren C. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Hjelte J. ⚽, Lundin A. (A),
90', Adrian S. 🟨,
90+1', Edqvist A. ↓, Browning L. ↑,
90+1', Adrian S. ↓, Persson K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Öster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gefle have a series of guest games.

In this match Öster is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gefle won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Huddinge - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
17.08.24	Örebro - Gefle	4:1 ✺
10.08.24	Gefle - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
03.08.24	Sandviken - Gefle	4:0 ✺
28.07.24	Landskrona - Gefle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLLW
- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
17.08.24	Öster - Örgryte	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Östersund - Öster	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Öster - Brage	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Helsingborg - Öster	3:2 ✺
20.07.24	Öster - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0
12.08.23	Öster - Gefle	1:2
10.06.23	Gefle - Öster	3:2
30.09.18	Öster - Gefle	0:0
16.06.18	Gefle - Öster	2:4
12.08.17	Öster - Gefle	1:1
18.05.17	Gefle - Öster	1:3

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