The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gefle 45.5%
Draw 25.6%
Varbergs BoIS 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
26.6%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
27.1%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.
Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varbergs BoIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gefle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varbergs BoIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Gefle - Varbergs BoIS Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 68.4% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson O. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 15. Friberg G. 7. Edqvist A. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 8. Lundin A. 11. Englund L. 12. Bellman H.
29. Andersson F. (G) 18. Custovic K. 4. Dahlstrom N. 2. Broman G. 5. Sverrisson O. 9. Kurochkin A. 13. Edlund O. 7. Tranberg R. (C) 11. Bjerkebo I. 19. Appiah Nyarko K. 16. Johansson A.
Substitutes
18. Capotondi C. 14. Friman S. P. 9. Hjelte J. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Lattman A. 16. Persson K.
25. Abdulazeez Y. 14. Alfonsi O. 20. Bitiqi A. 31. Dryselius V. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 17. Olausson L. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.
Hansen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Rauschenberg M. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Johansson A. ⚽, Kurochkin A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Broman G. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Johansson A. ⚽,
55', Appiah Nyarko K. 🟨,
58', 0 - 3, Appiah Nyarko K. ⚽, Bjerkebo I. (A),
63', Appiah Nyarko K. ↓, Alfonsi O. ↑,
69', Bellman H. ↓, Hjelte J. ↑,
73', Lundin A. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
74', Browning L. 🟨,
75', Kurochkin A. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
76', Johansson A. ↓, Abdulazeez Y. ↑,
77', Tranberg R. 🟨,
87', Rafael Y. 🟨,
87', Tranberg R. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,
87', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Frigell Jansson L. ↑,
90+2', Friberg G. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 4, Bitiqi A. (Pen),
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 2.
Recent matches Gefle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Varberg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Gefle have a series of guest games.
Gefle will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Gefle won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Jonsson O. (G) 
Rauschenberg M. (C) 
Ranera I. 
Sverrisson O. 
Appiah Nyarko K. 
Abdulazeez Y. 
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