Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 16

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		GAIS

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.82
	4.05	3.7	1.82	Watch
	4.55	3.98	1.78
	4.65	3.90	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.83
	4.11	3.74	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.48)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	1.79 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
22.1%

Draw
25.2%

GAIS
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

26.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.3%	93.7%

Degerfors - GAIS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - GAIS (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Degerfors (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (57 of 61 users predict this - 93.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.23% – 99.65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): GAIS will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Degerfors (votes: 1 - 2.4%). GAIS (votes: 37 - 88.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Igonen M. (G) 12. Lindell E. 6. Sundgren D. 4. Hien L. 5. Pikkarainen J. 2. Diaby M. 8. Girmai N. (C) 11. Gravius C. 20. Barsoum E. 19. Faraj O. 10. Rafferty M.	13. Sims K. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 12. Frej R. 24. Beckman F. 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 18. Holmen K. 21. Henriksson A. 9. Lundgren G. 19. Diabate I. 16. Niklasson R.
Substitutes
9. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 30. Morgado B. 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E. 27. Salifu Z. 24. Smedberg H.	7. Aberg J. 4. Agren O. 11. Becirovic E. 29. Bengtsson D. 22. Cardaklija A. 32. Ibrahim H. 1. Krasniqi M. (G) 17. Thorkelsson R. 5. Wendin R.
Coaches
Solberg T.	Holmberg F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, de Brienne M. ⚽, Niklasson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Pikkarainen J. (Own goal),
55', Milovanovic W. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Diabate I. ⚽,
64', Faraj O. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
64', Barsoum E. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
65', Hien L. 🟨,
72', Holmen K. ↓, Aberg J. ↑,
72', Niklasson R. ↓, Becirovic E. ↑,
72', Lindell E. ↓, Salifu Z. ↑,
72', Diaby M. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
74', Henriksson A. 🟨,
84', Hien L. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
86', Henriksson A. ↓, Thorkelsson R. ↑,
86', Diabate I. ↓, Bengtsson D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 1.

Degerfors is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

GAIS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, GAIS is the team to beat.

There will not play in GAIS: Amatkarijo C. (Inactive) Ibrahim H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Degerfors: Kassi L. (Inactive) Morgado B. (Inactive)

We predict that GAIS will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.07.25	AIK - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Djurgården - Degerfors	5:1 ✺
29.06.25	Degerfors - Brommapojkarna	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Degerfors - Öster	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Hammarby - Degerfors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.07.25	GAIS - Hammarby	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	GAIS - Malmö	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Häcken - GAIS	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	Norrköping - GAIS	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	GAIS - Sirius	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
13.04.25	GAIS - Degerfors	2:0
Svenska Cupen
24.02.24	Degerfors - GAIS	2:2
Club Friendly
09.02.23	GAIS - Degerfors	1:0
Swedish Superettan
07.11.20	Degerfors - GAIS	2:1
12.08.20	GAIS - Degerfors	0:0
20.07.19	Degerfors - GAIS	0:1
24.06.19	GAIS - Degerfors	0:3

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