Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 6

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3.45	2.02
	3.69	3.58	2.02
	3.4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.56	3.56	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	1.98 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
26.5%

Draw
27%

Västerås SK
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.9%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28.4%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gefle's form might have worsened.

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Västerås SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gefle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västerås SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Gefle - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västerås SK: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Västerås SK is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Västerås SK will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
29.04.23	Landskrona - Gefle	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Gefle - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
17.04.23	Jönköpings Södra - Gefle	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Gefle - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Trelleborg - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWW
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
29.04.23	Jönköpings Södra - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Västerås SK - Örebro	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Västerås SK - Örgryte	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Brage - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTW

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