Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Dufva-Johansson A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.5
	1.65	3.9	4.33
	1.66	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.67	4.2	4.76
	1.68	3.99	4.53	Watch
	1.6	4	4.2
	1.66	4.15	4.5	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	4.09 ↑ (3.87)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
56.4%

Draw
22.8%

Gefle
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trelleborg - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. (C) 5. Ogwuche A. 21. Alievski E. 14. Asoma S. 24. Christiansson V. 7. Larsen P. 22. Martinsson F. 10. Karim H. 29. Salama O.	22. Nilsson M. (G) 19. Aspgren C. 3. Adolfsson J. 16. Persson K. 15. Friberg G. 7. Edqvist A. 24. Rafael Y. 44. Ranera I. 10. Izountouemoi S. 9. Hjelte J. (C) 8. Lundin A.
Substitutes
16. Asani A. 2. Bjorken F. 34. Bjorkqvist M. 11. Culum A. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 15. Godwin E. 40. Kack J.	2. Adel I. 12. Bellman H. 4. Ekman P. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ranera I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Alievski E. ↓, Godwin E. ↑,
63', Christiansson V. ↓, Bjorkqvist M. ↑,
67', Ranera I. ↓, Bellman H. ↑,
67', Edqvist A. ↓, Friman S. P. ↑,
68', Asoma S. 🟨,
69', Salama O. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
70', Izountouemoi S. 🟨,
79', Larsen P. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
79', Martinsson F. ↓, Bjorken F. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Bjorken F. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
89', Izountouemoi S. ↓, Hakansson N. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 1.

Trelleborg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gefle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Trelleborg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
19.10.24	Brage - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Trelleborg - Örgryte	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Trelleborg - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Öster - Trelleborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
19.10.24	Gefle - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Gefle - Brage	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Helsingborg - Gefle	4:0 ✺
24.09.24	Gefle - Östersund	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
20.07.24	Gefle - Trelleborg	2:2
11.11.23	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:1
02.04.23	Trelleborg - Gefle	0:1
21.08.17	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:2
19.06.17	Trelleborg - Gefle	0:1
Svenska Cupen
26.02.17	Gefle - Trelleborg	1:2

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