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Current Win Probability
Geita Gold 47%
Draw 30.9%
Dodoma Jiji 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.1%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
30.6%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geita Gold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geita Gold's performance.
Dodoma Jiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dodoma Jiji might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geita Gold than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geita Gold that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dodoma Jiji than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dodoma Jiji could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Geita Gold - Dodoma Jiji Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Frank F. (G) 28. Ali A. 7. Chirwa A. 26. Hamis O. 13. Kulandana 12. Makasi K. 31. Mhilu Y. V. (C) 17. Mkele J. 5. Mohamed H. 25. Nassib M. 4. Shakur A.
39. Mbisa M. (G) 24. Banda A. 5. Beya H. 3. Bikoko A. 40. Kamagi G. 53. Kayanda F. 28. Khleffin S. 14. Kibuta M. 13. Kimweli A. 21. Kipagwile I. 27. Munganga N.
Substitutes
56. Kuzoza I. . Mhagwa 20. Muhenga T. 50. Mwakyusa E. (G) 18. Nakapi I. (G) 10. Ng'ondya R. 39. Ngoye F. 9. Shaban M. 14. Tebandeke C. . Vicent
. Kanyoro O. . Kibamba Y. 20. Mhilu D. . Ngalema 16. Ngassa B. . Ngecha I. 26. Nsata A. 10. Saliboko D. 31. Salim A. (G) . Shehame A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Khleffin S. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Ali A. (Own goal),
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, ⚽,
50', 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geita Gold won 3.
Geita Gold has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Dodoma shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dodoma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Geita Gold has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Dodoma has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Geita Gold has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Geita Gold against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).