Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 22

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Geita Gold		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.84	3.27	4.34
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 (1.81)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)	4.21 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geita Gold
50.1%

Draw
28.3%

Mtibwa Sugar
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

29.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geita Gold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geita Gold than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mwanuke J. S. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Mhilu Y. (Pen),
36', 2 - 1, Mashaka V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 2 - 2, Marungu O. A. ⚽, Mwanuke J. S. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geita Gold FC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.03.24	Young Africans - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Dodoma Jiji - Geita Gold	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Kinondoni MC - Geita Gold	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Geita Gold - Kagera Sugar	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Geita Gold - Mashujaa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTTL
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
13.03.24	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Singida Fountain Gate - Mtibwa Sugar	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
26.10.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Geita Gold	3:1
09.06.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Geita Gold	3:1
04.12.22	Geita Gold - Mtibwa Sugar	2:2
13.03.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Geita Gold	2:0
16.10.21	Geita Gold - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1

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