Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 21

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Kagera Sugar		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.75	3.9
	1.9	3.18	4.4
	2.02	2.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	4.13 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
46.5%

Draw
31.4%

Mtibwa Sugar
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (-1%)

Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mtibwa Sugar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kagera Sugar is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagera Sugar won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
05.03.24	Namungo - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Kagera Sugar - JKT Tanzania	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Geita Gold - Kagera Sugar	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Kagera Sugar - Singida Black Stars	2:1 ✺
16.02.24	Kagera Sugar - Mashujaa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWT
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
09.03.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Singida Fountain Gate - Mtibwa Sugar	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
12.02.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Singida Black Stars	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
19.10.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Kagera Sugar	0:2
06.06.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Kagera Sugar	3:0
28.11.22	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
03.04.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Kagera Sugar	1:1
22.10.21	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
17.04.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Kagera Sugar	1:1
01.11.20	Kagera Sugar - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1

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