Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2023, Friday


	Geita Gold		Polisi Tanzania

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.55	3.35	6
	1.56	3.35	5.8
	1.56	3.47	6.09
	1.57	3.5	5.65
	1.57	3.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.32)	3.41 ↓ (4.17)	5.8 ↓ (9.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geita Gold
57.8%

Draw
26.5%

Polisi Tanzania
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

21.7%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

20.4%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geita Gold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geita Gold's form might have worsened.

Polisi Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polisi Tanzania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geita Gold than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Geita Gold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polisi Tanzania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Geita Gold - Polisi Tanzania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Geita Gold is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Geita Gold won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Geita Gold won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geita Gold FC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.01.23	Geita Gold - Dodoma Jiji	2:0 ✺
30.12.22	Singida Fountain Gate - Geita Gold	2:1 ✺
25.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Geita Gold	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Geita Gold - Azam	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Geita Gold - Simba	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTTL
- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.01.23	Namungo - Polisi Tanzania	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Polisi Tanzania - Ruvu Shooting	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Polisi Tanzania - Coastal Union	3:3 ✺
22.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Polisi Tanzania	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Young Africans - Polisi Tanzania	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
04.10.22	Polisi Tanzania - Geita Gold	1:2
25.06.22	Polisi Tanzania - Geita Gold	0:1
06.02.22	Geita Gold - Polisi Tanzania	3:1

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