Match Info

Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Gençlerbirliği		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
	2.56	3.12	2.75
	2.68	3.23	2.94
	2.73	3.19	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.51	3.3	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
36.8%

Draw
29.7%

Kocaelispor
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	23.1%	3.8%

Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 52.6% – 89%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Velho R. (G) 88. Uzum F. 6. Goutas D. (C) 2. Thalisson Kelven 77. Dursun A. 42. Diabate O. 8. Onur S. 20. Traore A. 70. Tongya F. 10. Mimaroglu M. 22. Koita S.	83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 22. Oguz A. (C) 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 75. Bingol T. 10. Linetty K. 8. Keita H. 99. Rivas R. 7. Agyei D. 98. Nonge J.
Substitutes
99. Canak C. 44. Celik A. 15. Dele-Bashiru T. 18. Erenturk E. (G) 11. Gurpuz G. 23. Hanousek M. 61. Kemaloglu E. 29. Niang M. 13. Pereira P. 35. Ulgun O.	16. Ceylan D. 17. Churlinov D. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 19. Dursun S. 18. Gedik F. 94. Narin E. 97. Ozyar A. 11. Sagat A. 20. Susoho M. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Demirel V.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Demirel V. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Mimaroglu M. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Linetty K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Linetty K. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
46', Rivas R. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
57', Diabate O. 🟨,
62', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
68', Koita S. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
68', Tongya F. ↓, Hanousek M. ↑,
75', Agyei D. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
76', Onur S. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
86', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
90', Nonge J. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	7	4	0	3	8:6	2	12
13	Genclerbirligi	7	2	2	3	7:15	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Cup
22.04.26	Galatasaray - Gençlerbirliği	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Konyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLLLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
18.04.26	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Galatasaray - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Kocaelispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kocaelispor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
28.11.25	Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0
Turkish First League
20.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0
10.08.24	Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
15.03.24	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	2:0
28.10.23	Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2
20.03.22	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:1
24.10.21	Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2

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