Match Info

Super Lig - Round 27

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: GAİN Park Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Alanyaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4	Watch
	1.96	3.13	4.07
	2	3.28	4.43
	1.98	3.27	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	2.02	3.41	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	4.13 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
48.1%

Draw
29.1%

Kocaelispor
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	46.4%	7.1%

Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Kocaelispor (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. (C) 50. Akdag U. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 17. Janvier N. 11. Ruan 14. Hagi I. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 9. Mounie S.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 99. Rivas R. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 17. Churlinov D. 5. Balogh B. 98. Nonge J. 7. Agyei D. 10. Linetty K. 8. Keita H. 19. Dursun S.
Substitutes
20. Aksoy F. 30. Bruno Viana 25. Bulut B. 6. Celik I. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 8. Keskin E. 18. Mogultay B. 1. Taskiran E. (G) 10. Yalcin G.	75. Bingol T. 16. Ceylan D. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 97. Ozyar A. 11. Sagat A. 20. Susoho M. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Pereira J.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Linetty K. 🟨,
25', Keita H. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Hadergjonaj F. ⚽, Janvier N. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Churlinov D. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
46', Linetty K. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
59', Nonge J. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Lima N. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
68', Hagi I. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
70', Dursun S. ↓, Ozyar A. ↑,
77', Mounie S. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
77', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
79', Keita H. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Kaya I. ⚽, Hwang Ui-Jo (A),
84', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
84', Makouta G. ↓, Aksoy F. ↑,
87', Agyei D. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Janvier N. ⚽, Kaya I. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alanyaspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Ozdemir Y. (Suspended)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Injury) Oguz A. (Yellow Cards) Show (Yellow Cards) Susoho M. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Maestro (Inactive)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alanyaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	3	12
7	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	8:6	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
14.03.26	Göztepe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
09.03.26	Alanyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
14.03.26	Kocaelispor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
25.10.25	Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0

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