Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alanya Oba Stadium (Alanya) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect
France	19:00	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Connect
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect
Singapore	01:00	beIN Connect
Thailand	00:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect


	Alanyaspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.2	4	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.40
	1.96	3.16	3.94	Watch
	2.06	3.3	4.25
	1.98	3.28	4.12	Watch
	1.97	3.2	4.15
	2.02	3.38	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (1.99)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.99 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
47.3%

Draw
29.1%

Kocaelispor
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alanyaspor will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alanyaspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 20. Aksoy F. (C) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 55. Gezek B. 11. Ruan 10. Hagi I. 7. Kaya I. 17. Usluoglu A.	83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 22. Yildiz U. 2. Dijksteel A. (C) 5. Ortakaya E. 14. Show 99. Rivas R. 11. Sousa G. 10. Kutlu B. 20. Susoho M. 32. Baku M. 97. Aye F.
Substitutes
23. Bayram M. (G) 9. Ben Ali O. 19. Bikoue 26. Celik I. 12. Elia M. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 8. Keskin E. 58. Maestro 88. Ozdemir Y. 4. Ozyurt B.	7. Agyei D. 26. Altunbas M. 27. Bilim E. 75. Bingol T. 3. Cinan M. 29. Demir F. 8. Gulliksen T. 6. Maglica M. 41. Oztonga O. 23. Piri O. (G)
Coaches
Pereira J.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Kutlu B. ⚽, Rivas R. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Baku M. ⚽, Aye F. (A),
45+1', Ortakaya E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Makouta G. ↓, Maestro ↑,
46', Hagi I. ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
46', Usluoglu A. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Ruan ⚽, Keskin E. (A),
53', Aksoy F. 🟨,
61', Sousa G. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
67', Rivas R. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
67', Baku M. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
70', Gezek B. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
77', Aksoy F. ↓, Ben Ali O. ↑,
81', Kutlu B. 🟨,
82', Kutlu B. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
82', Aye F. ↓, Gulliksen T. ↑,
90', Aliti F. 🟨,
90+2', Celik I. 🟨,
90+3', Show 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 8th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Alanyaspor for this game.

Confirmed absences for Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Muscle Injury) Jovanovic A. (Coach's decision) Petkovic B. (Hamstring Injury) Zoukrou T. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Alanyaspor: Fernandes P. (Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alanyaspor has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alanyaspor against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	9	5	0	4	11:9	2	15
11	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Alanyaspor: 0.87%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
17.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Alanyaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Çorum - Alanyaspor	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWTW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
18.10.26	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Galatasaray - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Kocaelispor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.03.26	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	5:0
25.10.25	Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0

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