Match Info

Super Lig - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Kocaelispor		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.5	Watch
	2.33	2.93	3.29
	2.41	2.99	3.65
	2.34	2.93	3.52	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.38	2.98	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.43)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
40.4%

Draw
32.4%

Konyaspor
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Konyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kocaelispor - Konyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Kocaelispor (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Konyaspor (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Konyaspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 99. Rivas R. 75. Bingol T. 8. Keita H. 14. Show 7. Agyei D. 19. Dursun S. 17. Churlinov D.	13. Gungordu B. (G) 23. Andzouana Y. 39. Nagalo A. 5. Yazgili U. 24. Bosluk A. 16. Jevtovic M. 18. Kutlu B. 9. Turuc D. (C) 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 70. Olaigbe K. 40. Muleka J.
Substitutes
5. Balogh B. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 21. Haidara M. 70. Keles C. 10. Linetty K. 98. Nonge J. 83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 97. Ozyar A. 23. Yalcin S.	10. Bardhi E. 20. Bazoer R. 42. Bjorlo M. 1. Ertas D. (G) 17. Goncalves D. 21. Jo Jin-ho 99. Kramer B. 3. Subasi K. 32. Svendsen S. 7. Tasci T.
Coaches
Inan S.	Palut I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Show 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Keita H. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Dursun S. ⚽,
65', Olaigbe K. ↓, Bardhi E. ↑,
65', Bosluk A. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
70', Bingol T. ↓, Linetty K. ↑,
78', Churlinov D. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
78', Keita H. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
82', Ibrahimoglu M. ↓, Bjorlo M. ↑,
85', Turuc D. ↓, Tasci T. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Kramer B. ⚽,
90+2', Gungordu B. 🟨,
90+2', Oguz A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Muleka J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Konyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kocaelispor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Injury) Keles C. (Inactive) Susoho M. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Konyaspor: Akyol U. (Knee Injury) Demirbag A. (Yellow Cards) Ndao A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Petkovic B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Konyaspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Guilherme (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	7	4	0	3	8:6	2	12
16	Konyaspor	7	1	2	4	4:8	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 43.24%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
09.03.26	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
08.03.26	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alanyaspor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.10.25	Konyaspor - Kocaelispor	2:3

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