The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General Velásquez 37.9%
Draw 29.3%
Lota Schwager 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
29.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.1%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Lota Schwager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lota Schwager than the current prediction. (-1%)
General Velásquez - Lota Schwager Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 26. Arriaza C. 10. Bustamante B. 3. Carrasco I. 11. Lorca J. 18. Muza J. 8. Pavez J. 14. Pizarro C. 28. Rivera B. 21. Villablanca M.
26. Silva P. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 6. Contreras J. J. 21. Jopia Arias C. 16. Lincopan N. 14. Navarrete G. 11. Neira F. 8. Povea L. 18. Salas C. 23. Torres S. 19. Vergara C.
Substitutes
17. Alfaro M. 12. Cerda J. (G) 7. Lorca J. 6. Pinto B. 16. Sepulveda Riveros F. 15. Torres L. 27. Zamorano F.
29. Alburquenque J. (G) 13. Alvarado S. D. 20. Fuentes P. 9. Quiroga L. 2. Reyes J. 27. Torres S. 31. Zambrano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Lincopan N. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Rivera B. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Arriaza C. ⚽,
44', Muza J. 🟨,
45+3', Lorca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Ambiado A. 🟨,
61', Lorca J. ↓,
61', Muza J. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
61', Ambiado A. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
73', Pavez J. 🟨,
78', Pavez J. ↓, Sepulveda Riveros F. ↑,
79', Villablanca M. ↓, Alfaro M. ↑,
84', Lincopan N. ↓, Zambrana M. ↑,
88', Alvarado S. D. 🟨,
90+2', Arriaza C. ↓, Zamorano F. ↑,
90+6', Alfaro M. 🟨,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
General Velásquez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, General Velásquez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.