Match Info

Segunda Division - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Augusto Rodríguez (San Vicente de Tagua Tagua) 🌤️ ...


	General Velásquez		Lota Schwager

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.50
	2.60	2.95	2.43
	2.68	3.1	2.58
	2.62	3.24	2.52	Watch
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.63	3.3	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.48)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Velásquez
34.7%

Draw
29.2%

Lota Schwager
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lota Schwager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lota Schwager than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

General Velásquez - Lota Schwager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 10. Bustamante B. 3. Carrasco I. 31. Chavez D. 11. Lorca J. 18. Muza J. 14. Pizarro C. 29. Riquelme E. 28. Rivera B. 16. Sepulveda Riveros F.	12. Fuentes Lagos G. I. (G) 30. Chandia I. 6. Contreras J. J. 21. Jopia Arias C. 14. Navarrete G. 2. Reyes J. 18. Salas C. 3. Torres Quintana D. 23. Torres S. 27. Torres S. 19. Vergara C.
Substitutes
30. Alegria J. 26. Arriaza C. 12. Cerda J. (G) 6. Pinto B. 20. Riquelme R. 21. Villablanca M. 27. Zamorano F.	15. Hermosilla B. 22. Hernandez G. 1. Lagos Saravia B. A. (G) 11. Neira F. 25. Pontigo L. 8. Povea L. 31. Zambrana M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Lota Schwager could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, General Velásquez has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for General Velásquez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

General Velásquez - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
04.10.26	General Velásquez - Atlético Colina	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Santiago Morning - General Velásquez	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	General Velásquez - Real San Joaquín	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Deportes Rengo - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTW
- Lota Schwager
Chilean Segunda Division
03.10.26	Real San Joaquín - Lota Schwager	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lota Schwager - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Colina - Lota Schwager	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lota Schwager - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Deportes Rengo - Lota Schwager	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
28.06.26	General Velásquez - Lota Schwager	2:1
25.04.26	Lota Schwager - General Velásquez	1:0

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