Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 16

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Di Cicco G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Parma		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.95
	1.78	4.11	3.75
	1.76	4.2	3.79	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.7	3.76	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	3.87 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Parma
52.3%

Draw
24.1%

Genoa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

19.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Parma - Genoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ceasar C. (G) 73. Cox D. 25. Ambrosi C. (C) 6. Masu C. 7. Rabot I. 27. Gueguen M. 29. Uffren M. 18. Dominguez L. 46. Benedetti V. 17. Distefano G. 13. Kerr A.	21. Forcinella C. (G) 17. Acuti A. (C) 15. Di Criscio F. 23. Vigilucci V. 16. Curraj A. 18. Lie N. 19. Hilaj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 13. Bahr E. 29. Georgsdottir B. 45. Massa A.
Substitutes
24. Bou B. 23. Cissoko H. 22. Copetti M. (G) 15. Esteve A. 1. Fabiano F. (G) 5. Kajan Z. 32. Leskinen D. 9. Lonati G. 14. Minuscoli C. 37. Prugna C. 31. Redondo C. 19. Zamanian A.	5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 10. Cinotti N. 14. Ferrara A. 20. Giles H. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 2. Lipman E. 74. Lucafo S. 44. Mele C. 27. Monterubbiano V. 9. Sondengaard A.
Coaches
Valenti G.	De La Fuente S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Rabot I. ⚽, Distefano G. (A),
39', Hilaj A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Vigilucci V. ⚽, Massa A. (A),
73', Hilaj A. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
73', Distefano G. ↓, Leskinen D. ↑,
80', Lie N. ↓, Cinotti N. ↑,
80', Curraj A. ↓, Giles H. ↑,
80', Massa A. ↓, Monterubbiano V. ↑,
85', Vigilucci V. 🟨,
88', Bahr E. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
89', Benedetti V. ↓, Lonati G. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women).

Recent form of Parma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Genoa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Parma is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

Parma W: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Parma W	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Parma Women
Italian Serie A Women
21.02.26	Napoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Inter Milan	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Sassuolo - Parma	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Parma - Roma	3:3 ✺
26.01.26	Juventus - Parma	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLTL
- Genoa Women
Italian Serie A Women
21.02.26	Genoa - Como	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ternana - Genoa	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Genoa - Lazio	2:5 ✺
01.02.26	Milan - Genoa	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Genoa - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
09.11.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0
Italian Serie B Women
19.04.25	Parma - Genoa	1:0
01.05.24	Parma - Genoa	3:1

Parma - Genoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide