Match Info

Serie A - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Genoa		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5.25
	1.93	3.25	4.33
	1.82	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.78	3.45	5.88
	2.41	2.41	4.26	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.79	3.49	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.08)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.89 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
50.3%

Draw
30%

Lecce
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.2%	22.6%	13.2%

Genoa - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 34 - 64.2%). Lecce will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 51.3% – 77.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Genoa (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Genoa (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Genoa (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 18 - 75%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 27. Marcandalli A. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 3. Martin A. 73. Masini P. 32. Frendrup M. 23. Carboni V. 8. Stanciu N. 11. Gronbaek A. 29. Colombo L.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 10. Berisha M. 7. Tete Morente 20. Ramadani Y. 19. Banda L. 22. Camarda F.
Substitutes
30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 40. Fini S. 10. Junior Messias 17. Malinovskyi R. 5. Ostigard L. 20. Sabelli S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L. 9. Vitinha	1. Fruchtl C. (G) 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 75. Pierret B. 8. Rafia H. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 23. Sottil R.
Coaches
Vieira P.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Banda L. 🟨,
36', Veiga D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Banda L. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
60', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
60', Gronbaek A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
68', Veiga D. ↓, Kouassi C. ↑,
73', Carboni V. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
73', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
75', Martin A. 🟨,
77', Tete Morente 🟨,
86', Coulibaly L. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
87', Camarda F. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
88', Ekhator J. 🟨,
88', Stanciu N. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
88', Frendrup M. ↓, Vitinha ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3.

Lecce is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Genoa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Inactive) Otoa S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Pierotti S. (Red Card)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Genoa - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Rennes - Genoa	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Genoa - Mantova	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Genoa - Kaiserslautern	Canceled ✺
Italian Serie A
24.05.25	Bologna - Genoa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTW?W
- US Lecce
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Lecce - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Monopoli - Lecce	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Lecce - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Friendly
31.07.25	Lecce - United Arab Emirates	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Spezia - Lecce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.03.25	Genoa - Lecce	2:1
05.01.25	Lecce - Genoa	0:0
28.01.24	Genoa - Lecce	2:1
22.09.23	Lecce - Genoa	1:0
19.07.20	Genoa - Lecce	2:1
08.12.19	Lecce - Genoa	2:2
Coppa Italia
11.08.18	Genoa - Lecce	4:0

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