The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roma 68.8%
Draw 19.4%
Genoa 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.3%
18.3%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.3%
17.6%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Roma - Genoa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3.
Roma is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Genoa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The betting markets point to Roma as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Roma has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Roma against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:10 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).