The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genoa 39.9%
Draw 26.8%
Ternana 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
26.5%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
26%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Genoa - Ternana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Forcinella C. (G) 23. Vigilucci V. 15. Di Criscio F. 2. Lipman E. 17. Acuti A. (C) 10. Cinotti N. 19. Hilaj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 27. Monterubbiano V. 13. Bahr E. M. 9. Sondengaard A.
12. Ciccioli G. (G) 55. Ripamonti C. 4. Pacioni E. (C) 24. Massimino M. 18. Vigliucci C. 27. Di Giammarino V. 23. Regazzoli A. 21. Petrara M. 11. Pirone V. 20. Pellegrino C. G. 10. Lazaro P.
Substitutes
5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 16. Curraj A. 14. Ferrara A. 30. Giacobbo G. 20. Giles H. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 74. Lucafo S. 1. Marchetti L. J. (G) 45. Massa A. 44. Mele C.
1. Bartalini V. (G) 3. Breitner S. 6. Corrado H. 22. Erzen K. 15. Ferraresi E. 17. Labate C. 8. Pastrenge L. 5. Peruzzo L. 14. Porcarelli M. 19. Quazzico F.
Coaches
De La Fuente S.
Cincotta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Hilaj A. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Pellegrino C. G. ⚽, Ripamonti C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Regazzoli A. 🟨,
61', Bahr E. M. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Lipman E. ⚽, Cuschieri R. (A),
69', 3 - 1, Monterubbiano V. ⚽, Hilaj A. (A),
71', Monterubbiano V. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
71', Cuschieri R. ↓, Massa A. ↑,
71', Petrara M. ↓, Peruzzo L. ↑,
71', Vigliucci C. ↓, Ferraresi E. ↑,
75', Di Giammarino V. ↓, Porcarelli M. ↑,
82', Lazaro P. ↓, Breitner S. ↑,
82', Sondengaard A. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
88', Cinotti N. ↓, Giles H. ↑,
89', Bahr E. M. ↓, Bettalli G. ↑,
Preview
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).