Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 4

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ammannati D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	12:30	DAZN
Canada	06:30	DAZN Canada
Denmark	12:30	DAZN
Finland	13:30	DAZN
France	12:30	DAZN France
Germany	12:30	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	12:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	23:30	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	11:30	DAZN / App
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	DAZN
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	11:30	DAZN
Usa	06:30	Fox Soccer Plus


	Milan		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	4.75
	1.43	4.15	5.5
	1.43	4.61	6.57
	1.62	4.18	4.72	Watch
	1.39	4.55	6.5
	1.48	4.38	6	Watch
	1.46	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.79)	4.34 ↑ (3.25)	5.69 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
62.5%

Draw
21.3%

Ternana
16.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Milan - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Estevez S. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 23. Piga J. 20. Soffia A. 47. Nevado N. 14. Park Soo-Jeong 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 7. Kyvag T. 17. Sesay M. 15. Stokic S.	12. Ciccioli G. (C) 29. Martins C. 4. Pacioni E. 24. Massimino M. 14. Toniolo M. 8. Pastrenge L. 33. Breitner S. 21. Petrara M. 9. Hornemann S. 23. Regazzoli A. 15. Strode C.
Substitutes
8. Arrigoni G. 33. Bonanomi E. 32. Brighton A. 25. De Sanders K. 9. Fornes S. 21. Keijzer M. 24. Rainey S. (G) 18. Renzotti M. 6. Sorelli N. 35. Taddei P. 22. Tornaghi L. (G) 38. Vitale E.	7. Gomes A. 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 5. Peruzzo L. 19. Quazzico F. 1. Steen K. (G) 22. Testa S. 35. Ventriglia R. 28. Yang Lina
Coaches
Bakker S.	Defendi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Stokic S. ⚽, Sesay M. (A),
32', Mascarello M. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Stokic S. ⚽,
41', Piga J. 🟨,
45', Kyvag T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pastrenge L. ↓, Testa S. ↑,
62', Martins C. ↓, Labate C. ↑,
63', Regazzoli A. ↓, Ventriglia R. ↑,
63', Hornemann S. ↓, Lazaro P. ↑,
65', Kyvag T. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
66', Park Soo-Jeong ↓, Arrigoni G. ↑,
66', Piga J. ↓, Sorelli N. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Soffia A. ⚽, Mascarello M. (A),
80', Sesay M. ↓, Fornes S. ↑,
83', Petrara M. ↓, Yang Lina ↑,
87', Nevado N. ↓, Bonanomi E. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 4th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this matchup, Milan is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Milan has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Milan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	4	2	0	2	8:9	-1	6
6	Ternana W	4	2	0	2	4:6	-2	6

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 2.05% Ternana W: 1.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
18.10.26	Roma - Milan	4:2 ✺
04.10.26	Milan - Juventus	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Calcio Como - Milan	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Milan - Calcio Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLW
- Ternana Women
Italian Serie A Women
17.10.26	Ternana - Lazio	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Parma - Ternana	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Ternana - Como	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
05.09.26	Sassuolo - Ternana	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Fiorentina - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
17.05.26	Ternana - Milan	1:0
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0
Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Milan - Ternana	2:1
Coppa Italia Women
02.11.22	Ternana - Milan	0:2

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