Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 11

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Ramondino F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Milan		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	6.1	Watch
	1.38	5.11	6.45
	1.39	4.99	6.65	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.48	7.1	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.61 ↑ (4.45)	6.55 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
66%

Draw
20%

Ternana
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Milan - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 11. Grimshaw C. 5. Cernoia V. 15. Stokic S. 10. van Dooren K. 7. Kyvag T.	71. Schroffenegger K. (G) 29. Martins C. 24. Massimino M. 4. Pacioni E. 5. Peruzzo L. 20. Pellegrino C. G. 3. Breitner S. 8. Pastrenge L. 23. Regazzoli A. 11. Pirone V. 7. Gomes A.
Substitutes
29. Appiah K. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 12. Mascarello M. 14. Park Soo-Jeong 36. Strauss L. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)	12. Ciccioli G. (G) 16. Ciccotti C. 6. Corrado H. 27. Di Giammarino V. 22. Erzen K. 13. Ghioc K. (G) 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 21. Petrara M. 14. Porcarelli M. 55. Ripamonti C. 18. Vigliucci C.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Ardizzone M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽, Kyvag T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pellegrino C. G. ↓, Di Giammarino V. ↑,
46', Pastrenge L. ↓, Petrara M. ↑,
46', Breitner S. ↓, Ciccotti C. ↑,
58', De Sanders K. ↓, Mascarello M. ↑,
69', Grimshaw C. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
73', Martins C. ↓, Erzen K. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽,
81', Regazzoli A. ↓, Lazaro P. ↑,
82', Mascarello M. 🟨,
84', 3 - 0, Kyvag T. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
86', Cernoia V. ↓, Strauss L. ↑,
86', Kyvag T. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
86', Koivisto E. ↓, Donolato V. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ternana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
8	Ternana W	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Parma - Milan	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Genoa - Milan	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.12.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:5 ✺
06.12.25	Napoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWLW
- Ternana Women
Coppa Italia Women
21.01.26	Ternana - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
18.01.26	Ternana - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.12.25	Ternana - Como	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.12.25	Ternana - Roma	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Fiorentina - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Milan - Ternana	2:1
Coppa Italia Women
02.11.22	Ternana - Milan	0:2

Milan - Ternana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide