Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 14

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Gerena		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2	3.05	3.42
	1.94	3.01	3.42
	1.99	3.2	3.48
	2.05	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.31)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	3.4 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
44.8%

Draw
28.7%

Espeleño
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerena's performance.

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gerena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Gerena - Espeleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gerena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.12.23	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Coria CF - Gerena	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Gerena - La Palma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWT
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.12.23	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Ayamonte - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Espeleño - Coria CF	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	La Palma - Espeleño	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Espeleño - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.01.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:2
24.02.19	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0
14.10.18	Espeleño - Gerena	2:5
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.02.18	Espeleño - Gerena	2:2
15.10.17	Gerena - Espeleño	1:2

Gerena - Espeleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide