Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Sevilla C		Gerena

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	3.09	2.98	2.24
	3.09	2.98	2.24
	3.05	3.05	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.65)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla C
30%

Draw
30.3%

Gerena
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla C won 1.

Sevilla C has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gerena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sevilla C won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla C won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.11.23	Utrera - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sevilla C - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Conil - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Sevilla C - Ayamonte	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Cartaya - Sevilla C	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Coria CF - Gerena	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Gerena - La Palma	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Xerez Deportivo - Gerena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.03.23	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1
06.11.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	1:3
12.01.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	0:2
11.09.21	Gerena - Sevilla C	4:1
28.03.21	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:0
20.12.20	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1
19.01.20	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:1

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