Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 15

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday


	Germania Halberstadt		Chemie Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	4.3	3.55	1.71
	4.9	4	1.54
	4.55	3.82	1.74
	5.25	3.7	1.53
	4.3	3.82	1.73
	3.85	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (5.25)	3.72 ↓ (4)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germania Halberstadt
20.8%

Draw
24.7%

Chemie Leipzig
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.6%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

22.2%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germania Halberstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Chemie Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chemie Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germania Halberstadt than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chemie Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Germania Halberstadt - Chemie Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Germania Halberstadt will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Chemie Leipzig will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chemie Leipzig: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Germania Halberstadt won 2.

Germania Halberstadt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chemie Leipzig is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chemie Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Germania Halberstadt won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Germania Halberstadt won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germania Halberstadt
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.02.23	Germania Halberstadt - Berliner AK 07	2:1
05.02.23	Meuselwitz - Germania Halberstadt	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Germania Halberstadt - Lichtenberg	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Altglienicke - Germania Halberstadt	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Energie Cottbus - Germania Halberstadt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTTL
- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.02.23	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
03.02.23	Altglienicke - Chemie Leipzig	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Chemie Leipzig - Babelsberg	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Chemie Leipzig - Bischofswerdaer	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
23.01.22	Germania Halberstadt - Chemie Leipzig	0:2
28.07.21	Chemie Leipzig - Germania Halberstadt	0:2
28.10.20	Germania Halberstadt - Chemie Leipzig	2:1
22.02.20	Chemie Leipzig - Germania Halberstadt	0:0
11.09.19	Germania Halberstadt - Chemie Leipzig	3:3
31.03.18	Chemie Leipzig - Germania Halberstadt	0:3
03.10.17	Germania Halberstadt - Chemie Leipzig	1:1

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