Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 12

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Chemie Leipzig		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.25	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	4.25 (4.25)	3.04 (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
49.2%

Draw
21.2%

Luckenwalde
29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

20.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chemie Leipzig have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Luckenwalde have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Will L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, Pilger F. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Seidel Q. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Profis T. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 2.

In recent outings, Chemie Leipzig has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Luckenwalde has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chemie Leipzig holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Chemie Leipzig has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chemie Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Chemie Leipzig	14	3	4	7	17:22	-5	13
18	Luckenwalde	14	2	0	12	14:34	-20	6

Last Results with these Odds

Luckenwalde - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Chemie Leipzig	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Chemie Leipzig - Chemnitzer	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Tasmania Berlin - Chemie Leipzig	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Chemie Leipzig - Zwickau	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Altglienicke - Chemie Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWTT
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.26	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Luckenwalde	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Luckenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:5
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
22.03.26	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:0
27.09.25	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:0
01.02.25	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:3
10.08.24	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
19.05.24	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:3
21.02.24	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:1
10.02.23	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:2

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