Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Gernika		Ejea

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.98	3.1
	2.25	3.11	3.11
	1.95	3.20	3.72	Watch
	2.3	3.04	3.16
	1.9	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
43.1%

Draw
29.4%

Ejea
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ejea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Gernika - Ejea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Acin Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Baque I. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Gernika is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ejea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gernika might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gernika won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.25	Alavés B - Gernika	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Gernika - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Gernika - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Náxara - Gernika	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWTWW
- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.10.25	Ejea - Basconia	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Eibar B - Ejea	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ejea - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ebro - Ejea	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.25	Gernika - Ejea	2:2
13.10.24	Ejea - Gernika	1:0

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