The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Getafe B 42.4%
Draw 28.9%
Talavera de la Reina 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
29%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
27.6%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Getafe B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Getafe B's form might have worsened.
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Getafe B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Getafe B - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Joselu (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe B won 2.
Getafe B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Talavera has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Talavera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Getafe B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Getafe B has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Getafe B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).